Arkansas citizens are heading to the polls today to cast their votes for candidates in the Super Tuesday election. This election will help determine the presidential nominees for the two major political parties.
During Super Tuesday, Arkansas will vote on the Democratic and Republican candidates.
Currently, the Democratic Party candidates include former former Vice President Joe Biden, former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and Rep. Tulsi Gabbard. The Republican candidates are the incumbent, President Donald Trump, and former Massachusetts Gov. Bill Weld.
The election will determine how delegates will be apportioned out to candidates. Arkansas awards 31 delegates. Of this total, 11 delegates will be awarded based on the statewide vote, while 20 will be awarded based on the voting in each of the four congressional districts.
A FiveThirtyEight poll aggregation has Biden winning an average of 35 percent of the vote in Arkansas. The blog forecasts that he will win an average of 12 pledge delegates out of the total 31.
In FiveThirtyEight simulations, Biden has won 25 to 45 percent of the vote with a 69 percent chance of winning the most votes. The second-closest candidate is Bloomberg who is only projected to have a 17 percent chance of winning the most votes. In addition, Bloomberg’s chances of capturing the highest number of delegates is only 20 percent, according to the poll.
However, a Hendrix College poll had Bloomberg with a slight lead over Biden. In this February poll, Bloomberg led Biden by 19.6 percent of the vote compared to 18.5 percent. However, the poll, published in an article on Feb. 11, features three candidates who are no longer in the race.
A Data for Progress poll asked a sample size of Arkansas citizens for their opinions of the Democratic party candidates, and a larger percentage of the group said they would vote for Biden. In the poll, Biden received 36 “yes” votes, while Sanders and Bloomberg were neck-and-neck with 23 and 22 “yes” votes, respectively.
Warren had next highest number of votes with 15, and Gabbard only received 1 vote. Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar also received votes (2 and 1 respectively) but they dropped out after the poll was taken.